
Elon Musk recently stirred up political conversations by saying he believes the next decade in the United States will be a major turning point. During a private virtual talk with a group of current and former DOGE members in late October, he shared a prediction that sounded like something out of a political drama. He claimed that America is entering what he described as a “great 12-year span,” suggesting a long stretch of stability and strong conservative control. In his view, Donald Trump will successfully complete a second term as president in 2028, and then power will pass directly to Trump’s current vice president, J.D. Vance. Musk pictured Vance not just stepping in, but winning two full elections of his own, potentially leading the country from 2029 all the way through 2037. It is a bold, detailed guess that assumes everything goes perfectly for Trump and Vance.
Right now, within the Republican Party, many people already see Vance as the most likely choice for the 2028 presidential nomination. Even Marco Rubio has reportedly said privately that Vance is the candidate to beat. But the situation is not as secure as it once looked. New polls show that Vance’s early lead has slipped, and Donald Trump Jr. — someone who might not have been taken as seriously in past conversations — is starting to gain support. That shift hints at how unpredictable future politics could be, no matter how confidently predictions are made.
The most unpredictable piece of all comes from Trump himself. The Constitution says a president can only serve two terms, but Trump keeps hinting that he might try to challenge that limit. In October, he told reporters that he would love to run for a third term. He refused to clearly rule it out and instead suggested that maybe the question isn’t settled yet. He praised his team and implied that his leadership is something the country needs beyond the limits currently in place. Because Trump often keeps people guessing, comments like that send his supporters into excitement and his critics into frustration.
Some people who follow politics closely believe these comments are not about real plans but about keeping attention on Trump. Journalist and author Jonathan Karl said on a political talk show that Trump, along with Steve Bannon, enjoys stirring up speculation just to get reactions. Karl said Bannon might even be pushing the idea partly to annoy J.D. Vance, since Bannon is not a big fan of Vance behind the scenes. In their view, this is not a strategy for governing — it’s a strategy for keeping Trump in the spotlight and making sure everyone keeps talking about him.
J.D. Vance, on the other side, seems more cautious. He has been trying to show that he is focused on his current job instead of chasing future power. When Sean Hannity asked him directly if he is thinking about running for president in 2028, Vance admitted that the thought has crossed his mind. He said he planned to talk privately with the president about the future once the midterm elections are over. But he made it clear that his attention right now needs to stay on what he was elected to do. He explained that if he starts daydreaming about becoming president someday, he might not do his current work well enough.
Vance also said that the administration is working toward long-term goals to rebuild the American economy, and that he wants to contribute to that effort instead of being distracted by speculation. He insisted that success in politics requires patience, discipline, and staying focused on what is right in front of you. Even though people are already putting his name into the future presidential conversation, he wants to show he is grounded and responsible rather than overly ambitious.
So while Musk is imagining a clean, powerful Republican run for more than a decade, the real world looks much messier. There are shifting loyalties, changing poll numbers, and constant questions about what Trump might do — questions that Trump himself enjoys keeping blurry. What is clear is that the next several years in American politics will likely be filled with surprises, arguments, and a lot of attention on the group of people Musk thinks will maintain power. Whether any of his predictions come true is something only time can prove.



